F. Halicioglu

Article | 2007 | Energy Economics29 ( 2 ) , pp.199 - 210

This article provides fresh empirical evidences for the income and price elasticies of the residential energy demand both in the short-run and long-run for Turkey over the period 1968-2005, using the bounds testing procedure to cointegration. The computed elasticities of income and price are consistent with the previous studies and, as expected, the long-run elasticities are greater than the short-run elasticities. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is implemented among residential electricity, income, price and urbanization. In the long-run, causality runs interactively through the error-correction term from income, pr . . .ice and urbanization to residential energy but the short-run causality tests are inconclusive The parameter stability of the short-run as well as long-run coefficients in the residential energy demand function are tested. The results of these tests display a stable pattern. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Daha fazlası Daha az

F. Halicioglu

Article | 2010 | Tourism Economics16 ( 1 ) , pp.83 - 97

This study empirically examines aggregate tourism outflows in the case of Turkey using the time-series data for 1970-2005. As far as this article is concerned, there is no previous empirical work dealing with tourist outflows from Turkey. The previous tourism studies of Turkey have focused, by and large, on inbound tourism demand analyses. However, as a developing country and an important tourism destination, Turkey has also been a significant source for generating a substantial number of tourists in recent years. Therefore, the tourist outflows also merit empirical analysis. Total tourist outflows from Turkey are related to real in . . .come and relative prices. The bounds testing to cointegration procedure proposed by Pesaran et al (2001) is employed to compute the short- and long-run elasticities of income and relative prices. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is conducted among the variables of outbound tourist flows, income and relative prices to determine the direction of causality. In the long run, causality runs interactively through the error correction term from income and relative prices to outbound tourist flows. However, in the short run, causality runs only from income to outbound tourism flows. The aggregate tourism outflows equation is also checked for the parameter stability via the tests of cumulative sum (CUSUM) and cumulative sum of the squares (CUSUMSQ). The results suggest that income is the most significant variable in explaining total tourist outflows from Turkey and there is a stable outbound tourism demand function. The results also lead to important policy recommendations Daha fazlası Daha az

Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2011 | Energy36 ( 5 ) , pp.3348 - 3354

This study attempts to examine empirically dynamic causal relationships between aggregate output, energy consumption, exports, capital and labour in the case of Turkey using the time series data for the period 1968-2008. This research tests the interrelationships between the variables using the bounds testing to cointegration procedure. The bounds test results indicate that there exists a long-run relationship between the variables in which the dependent variable is aggregate output. Within this study, three competing sets of hypotheses regarding the relationship between aggregate output, exports and energy consumption are tested. A . . .n augmented form of Granger causality analysis is conducted amongst the variables. In the long-run, causality runs interactively through the error correction term from labour, capital, exports and energy consumption to aggregate output. In the short-run, two important bilateral causalities were identified: between energy consumption and aggregate output, between exports and aggregate output. The short-run causality testing reveals further the existence of a unilateral causality running from exports to energy consumption too. The long-run relationship of aggregate output, energy consumption, exports, capital and labour equation is also checked for the parameter stability. The results also provide some important policy recommendations. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd Daha fazlası Daha az

Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2012 | International Journal of Social Economics39 ( 9 ) , pp.704 - 720

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to study empirically the dynamics of crime in Turkey at aggregate and disaggregate levels and provide empirical evidence of temporal causality between crime, health, income, divorce, urbanization and security expenditures. Design/methodology/approach - The paper employs bounds testing cointegration procedure, augmented causality tests and variance decompositions. Findings - The empirical results suggest the existence of cointegration amongst the variables. Augmented Granger causality tests and variance decomposition analyses indicate the different level, long-term associations between the varia . . .bles. Practical implications - Conclusions drawn from this study could be useful for the policy makers and practitioners in international law organizations. Originality/value - The paper provides first-time, comprehensive, time-series evidence on the dynamics of crime in Turkey using the framework of cointegration and causality tests. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited Daha fazlası Daha az

Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2011 | Economic Modelling28 ( 5 ) , pp.2075 - 2082

This study is concerned with understanding the factors of life expectancy in Turkey for the period 1965-2005. The determinants of life expectancy in Turkey are related to selected social, economical and environmental factors. Bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to compute the long-run elasticities of longevity with respect to the selected economic, social and environmental factors. There exists no previous study that estimates empirically the determinants of life expectancy in Turkey on the basis of time series data and cointegration framework. Empirical results suggest that nutrition and food availability along wit . . .h health expenditures are the main positive factors for improving longevity whereas smoking seems to be the main cause for mortality. The results also draw a number of policy recommendations for improving longevity. © 2011 Elsevier B.V Daha fazlası Daha az

Altinanahtar, A. | Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2009 | Journal of Socio-Economics38 ( 6 ) , pp.903 - 907

This study is the first attempt to empirically examine the determinants of suicides in the case of Turkey using the time-series data for the period 1974-2007. This research proposes that the suicides in Turkey are related to some economic and social factors and they exhibit a dynamic relationship amongst them. Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration testing procedure is employed to obtain the short-run and long-run elasticities of suicides with respect to per capita real income, divorce rates, urbanization and liquidation. The empirical results reveal that the urbanization has the highest impact on suicides, . . . which is followed by per capita real income and liquidation. The results also provide some important policy recommendations to reduce suicides. © 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved Daha fazlası Daha az

Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2008 | Journal of Asian Economics19 ( 3 ) , pp.236 - 243

This study empirically analyses bilateral J-curve dynamics of Turkey with her 13 trading partners using quarterly time series data over the period 1985-2005. Short- and long-run impacts of the depreciation of Turkish lira on the trade balance between Turkey and her 13 trading partners are estimated from the bounds cointegration testing approach and error correction modelling. The empirical results indicate that whilst there is no J-curve effect in the short-run, but in the long-run, the real depreciation of the Turkish lira has positive impact on Turkey's trade balance in couple of countries. The stability of the long-run trade bala . . .nce equations is also checked through CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved Daha fazlası Daha az

Halicioglu, F.

Article | 2007 | Global Business and Economics Review9 ( 1 ) , pp.62 - 74

This study provides empirical estimates for new residential homes demand function in Turkey using the time series data for the period 1964-2004. An aggregate demand function for new private dwellings in Turkey is formed and is estimated using bounds testing cointegration procedure proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) to compute the short and long-run elasticities of income and price variables. This study also implements Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and Cumulative Sum of the Squares (CUSUMSQ) stability tests on the estimated new housing demand function. The empirical results indicate that income is the most significant variable in explaining . . .the demand for new housing in Turkey and there exists a relatively stable new housing demand function. Copyright © 2007 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd Daha fazlası Daha az